基于SWE的空天资源对地观测协同任务规划服务模型

空天协同对地观测是对地观测领域的新趋势。为解决现有空天资源规划调度系统相对独立、协同困难的问题,分析总结了SWE(Sensor Web Enablement)标准,并在此基础上提出了空天资源对地观测协同任务规划服务模型。在此模型中,为实现观测资源共享,建立了空天观测资源传感器描述模型,能够描述典型空天资源的载荷平台、观测机理、定位信息、使用约束和工作特性等信息;为简化观测请求交互流程,基于SOA技术对SWE标准操作进行封装及简化,用户可以在不了解观测平台细节信息的情况下提交观测数据请求。为验证模型有效性,构建了空天资源对地观测协同任务规划实验平台,结果表明该模型具有较强的可实现性和适应性。     

基于Dubins路径的智能车辆路径规划算法

路径规划是车辆智能化的核心问题之一,而所有路径均可分解为简单的Dubins路径。在Dubins路径的思想下对智能车辆的行驶路径进行分段研究,并利用经典PID控制对该算法的执行性能进行检验。研究表明:算法能计算出车辆行驶的最短路径,减少了车辆行驶的路径长度,缩短了行驶时间,减少了控制系统的计算量,提高了车辆执行系统的执行力度,降低了执行误差,对最优路径具有较好的选择性。     

机载反辐射导弹和常规反舰导弹协同规划算法

机载反辐射导弹在攻击移动目标时容易受雷达关机影响而丢失目标,和常规主动雷达制导的反舰导弹协同攻击可以有效对抗目标雷达关机。为了达到协同作战目的,载机起飞前已知目标信息情况下,通过计划协同算法确定协同作战方案,方案包括载机和导弹各个航路点位置和到达该位置的时间点,然后按照在机场起飞前就制定好的方案实施具体作战行动。对计划协同算法进行了实例仿真,结果表明算法切实有效。     

Making defense planning meaningful: the evolution of strategic guidance in the Hungarian Ministry of Defense

Hungary, a former communist state, adapted a Western-style defense planning system during the 1990s and 2000s. Although on the surface the elements of this planning system were similar to the planning programming budgeting system (PPBS) developed by the US Department of Defense, strategic guidance for defense planning has not been properly developed until recently. Thus, albeit PPBS-based defense plans were developed in the Hungarian Ministry of Defense (Hungarian MoD) regularly, they lacked both an expression of clear priorities and strategic focus. This article delineates the evolution of strategic guidance in the Hungarian MoD concentrating on current developments, and introduces the newly elaborated analytical concepts and tools, which helped to create needed strategic guidance in Hungary.     

Risk‐sensitive sizing of responsive facilities

We develop a risk‐sensitive strategic facility sizing model that makes use of readily obtainable data and addresses both capacity and responsiveness considerations. We focus on facilities whose original size cannot be adjusted over time and limits the total production equipment they can hold, which is added sequentially during a finite planning horizon. The model is parsimonious by design for compatibility with the nature of available data during early planning stages. We model demand via a univariate random variable with arbitrary forecast profiles for equipment expansion, and assume the supporting equipment additions are continuous and decided ex‐post. Under constant absolute risk aversion, operating profits are the closed‐form solution to a nontrivial linear program, thus characterizing the sizing decision via a single first‐order condition. This solution has several desired features, including the optimal facility size being eventually decreasing in forecast uncertainty and decreasing in risk aversion, as well as being generally robust to demand forecast uncertainty and cost errors. We provide structural results and show that ignoring risk considerations can lead to poor facility sizing decisions that deteriorate with increased forecast uncertainty. Existing models ignore risk considerations and assume the facility size can be adjusted over time, effectively shortening the planning horizon. Our main contribution is in addressing the problem that arises when that assumption is relaxed and, as a result, risk sensitivity and the challenges introduced by longer planning horizons and higher uncertainty must be considered. Finally, we derive accurate spreadsheet‐implementable approximations to the optimal solution, which make this model a practical capacity planning tool.© 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

调运问题中基于栅格模型的快速路径规划方法

针对调运路径规划这一问题,采用栅格模型表示环境地图,通过设定路径搜索方向权重,剔除不必要的搜索区域,提高了搜索效率.仿真结果表明,该算法能有效地提高路径搜索效率,并能搜索到最优路径.     

Models for production planning under power interruptions

We present a robust optimization model for production planning under the assumption that electricity supply is subject to uncertain interruptions caused by participation in interruptible load contracts (ILCs). The objective is to minimize the cost of electricity used for production while providing a robust production plan which ensures demand satisfaction under all possible interruption scenarios. The combinatorial size of the set of interruption scenarios makes this a challenging problem. Furthermore, we assume that no probabilistic information is known about the supply uncertainty: we only use the information given in the ILC to identify an uncertainty set that captures the possible scenarios. We construct a general robust framework to handle this uncertainty and present a heuristic to compute a good feasible solution of the robust model. We provide computational experiments on a real‐world example and compare the performance of an exact solver applied to the robust model with that of the heuristic procedure. Finally, we include the operational impact of interruptions such as “recovery modes” in the definition of the uncertainty set. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

The failure of defense planning in European Post-Communist Defense Institutions: ascertaining causation and determining solutions

By any objective measure, defense institutions in Central and Eastern Europe have all but universally been incapable of producing viable defense plans that are based on objective costing and operational planning data. This situation exists in spite the provision of considerable Western advice and assistance, let alone reporting to and receiving assessments by NATO’s International Staff under Partnership for Peace, as well as via the integrated defense planning and reporting systems. An explanation for this systematic failure across European post-Communist defense institutions can be found in the continued slow development of an over-arching policy framework which directs and approves all activities of the armed forces, as well as the de-centralization of financial decision-making down to capability providers. The essay ends with an examination of the adverse effects of the early introduction of planning programming, budgeting system (PPBS), have had on the development of effective policy and planning capabilities within these defense institutions.     

水面舰艇编队空中威胁扇面角预测模型

针对水面舰艇编队空中威胁扇面角的预测问题,分析了影响空中威胁扇面角大小的主要因素。以具有航路规划能力的远程反舰导弹为对象,从航空兵及远程反舰导弹的作战使用特点和装备性能限制着手,建立了计算威胁扇面角的数学模型。通过仿真分析,得出了主要参数对威胁扇面角的影响规律,为水面舰艇编队对空防御兵力的配置提供了依据。     

基于辅助制导的无人飞行器有向航迹网络图设计

基于辅助制导的无人飞行器多航迹规划是现今航迹规划的主流研究方向之一。飞行器规划空间广,规划过程耗时长,如何提高航迹规划的速度是一个急待解决的问题。因此,提出了一种在预处理过程中生成的、满足战场环境和基于辅助制导无人飞行器飞行特性的有向航迹网络图。该网络图适用于基于辅助制导的无人飞行器多航迹快速规划,使用数据库存储和管理,具有整体数据结构化、易扩充、占用内存资源小、可大大缩短规划时间等优点。